Sunday, March 31, 2019

Economic Indicators

I never realized that the federal budget proposal issued by the Office of Management and Budget includes more than the budget. It also includes "indicators are drawn from six domains: economic, demographic and civic, socioeconomic, health, security and safety, and environment and energy." Below is a summary of economic indicators as shown by Tim Taylor. I will try to show the other indicators over the next week or so.

Economic
  • Real GDP per person has more than tripled since 1960, rising from $18,036 in 1960 to $55,373 in 2017 (as measured in constant 2012 dollars).
  • Inflation has reduced the buying power of the dollar over time such that $1 in 2016 had about the same buying power as 12.3 cents back in 1960, according to the Consumer Price Index.
  • The employment/population ratio rose from 56.1% in 1960 to 64.4% by 2000, then dropped to 58.5% in 2012, before rebounding a bit to 62.9% in 2018.
  • The share of the population receiving Social Security disabled worker benefits was 0.9% in 1960 and 5.5% in 2018. 
  • The net national savings rate was 10.9% of GDP in 1960, 7.1% in 1980, and 6.0% in 2000. It actually was slightly negative at -0.5 in 2010, but was back to 2.9% in 2017.
  • Research and development spending has barely budged over time: it was 2.52% of GDP in 1960 and 2.78% of GDP in 2017, and hasn't varied much in between.

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