Monday, March 30, 2009
Another Day In Iraq
The photo on the left is of a pushcart, "which is used to carry fruit and vegetable carried tens of wounded people. Its the most popular ambulance in cases like these. It is handy and can carry more than one person. This cart will carry fruit and vegetable again soon."
Indulgent Parent
Your Plan Sucks
But the task force does think the company is viable. But first, Wagoner is out. Then most of the board of directors have to go. And who knows who will be left.
Bankruptcy anyone?
Partner or Go Bust
"Independent financial analysts and industry experts are nearly unanimous in their views that, to be competitive in the decades to come, auto companies will need to transform their processes and products to improve efficiency, reduce costs and offer a higher-quality, more fuel-efficient fleet," the task force said. "These transformations will require substantial investment that Chrysler – according to its own plan – is not capable of making. Therefore, the Administration does not believe that on its own, Chrysler can achieve the scale or depth of product mix necessary to compete in the 21st century global auto market."
"Given the magnitude of the concessions needed, the most effective way for Chrysler to emerge from this restructuring with a fresh start may be by using an expedited bankruptcy process as a tool to extinguish liabilities," the task force said.
Sunday, March 29, 2009
PACS and the Bailout
Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Breaking its own laws
As you may suspect the primary issue in this matter is the settlements. Settlements in the West Bank are to receive no funding from the government, or so the government said four years ago. Well, that is not the case with an "outpost' near the settlement of Eli. The government is building a road from Eli to the outpost. And they're building it over private land owned by Palestinians, who, need I say, have had exactly zero say in the matter.
Maybe the ratings agencies were not crooks?
Take it back
The current case concerns Dr. Jonathan Leo, who wrote a letter to to a British medical journal critical of an article that had been published in JAMA, the journal of the AMA. That article was written by someone who had a "financial relationship" with the manufacturer of the product featured in the article.
The editors of JAMA did not like this and asked Dr. Leo to retract the article. When he refused, the editors went to Dr. Leo's boss, who also refused. Dr. Leo also asserts that he was told that he would be barred from JAMA for life unless he retracted. You gotta wonder!
Friday, March 27, 2009
"A very, very active process"
Who is describing reality? I think it must be Mr. Liddy because just about all of the company's risk management big-wigs are still employed by AIG despite the enormous losses the company has sustained largely because of their poor risk management process and practices.
Inertia is a very strong force, especially with regards to the higher-ups in large public companies.
Another Reason to End the War on Drugs
The DEA purchase of these plans was not part of the normal budget; it was part of the classified budget, the budget under which the CIA and who knows who else operates. There is no real review of this budget, yet it is not our smallest budget by any means. An interesting question is who decides what goes into this classified budget. The planes were to be used for drug surveillance. Should they be part of the classified budget?
Will the market continue to rise?
A rising market does not necessarily mean that banks will actually lend nor companies hire. In the 21st century, by and large, the market reflects the 'beliefs' and opinions of people who are gamblers at heart. Overall, they are not looking at the long term effects of their investment; it's a question of whether the stock will rise tomorrow or next week, not whether the company behind the stock will be here ten years from now.
Why Geithner Should Go
Joan Vennochi of the Boston Globe does not have a warm regard for Timothy Geithner as our Secretary of the Treasury. Basically, she feels that he pleads ignorance too often, e.g, with regard to his non-payment of taxes and his lack of knowledge re the AIG bonuses. On this latter point Vennochi in the following excerpt from her column demonstrates quite clearly that any sensible person would have doubts as to the veracity of the latter claim.
Reporting by The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times establishes the following chronology:
AIG cited the bonus retention plan in a public filing in early November. Geithner, then president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was involved in major AIG matters until he recused himself around the time of his Nov. 24 nomination as Treasury secretary.
Some lawmakers raised the matter of AIG bonuses at a December hearing. Over the next weeks, AIG officials briefed lawmakers about the retention bonuses. On Feb. 28, Treasury Department staff were briefed on AIG matters, including the bonuses, by the New York Federal Reserve Bank.
On March 3, Geithner was asked directly about the bonuses at a House Ways and Means Committee hearing.
During that hearing, Representative Joseph Crowley, a Democrat from New York, asked what could be done to stop AIG from paying $160 million in bonuses.
Geithner responded by saying executive pay in the financial industry had gotten "out of whack" in recent years. He promised to do something about it when companies getting taxpayer bailouts were involved.
The bonuses were front-page news on March 15. Geithner eventually said he would take "full responsibility" but insisted he did not learn of the bonuses until March 10. A Treasury Department spokesman later said Geithner "was not aware of the timing or full extent of the contractual retention payments or other bonus programs until his staff brought them to his attention on March 10." It took until March 20 for Geithner to confirm that his department pushed Dodd to write the budget loophole into the economic stimulus plan.
The president has made it clear Geithner is his guy. What he has never made clear to the American public is why.
Obama stood behind Geithner when his then-nominee said he didn't pay his taxes because of some misunderstanding of the tax code. Now Obama is standing behind Geithner when he says he didn't know about the AIG bonuses because he didn't fully understand what his staff was negotiating.
The president is now asking American taxpayers to trust Geithner's plan to help buy up so-called toxic assets, as well as to expand the government's authority to take over troubled corporations like AIG. (my emphasis)
That's asking for a lot of trust. So far, on a personal level, Geithner has done little to show taxpayers he deserves it. But Obama continues to praise him, and even said in a "60 Minutes" interview that he would reject Geithner's resignation, if offered.
A market rally boosts Geithner's stock when it comes to pleasing Wall Street. But it shouldn't erase the honesty question for Main Street.
A Treasury secretary who trims the truth on any level is a liability. But Obama is sticking with his investment, out of loyalty, stubbornness, or both.
There has been plenty of time to figure out who knew what about the AIG bonus formula and when they knew it. If the full calculation doesn't get Obama angry, it should.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Things are better?
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Surging where?
Another candidate for dumbest Congressman
Miron lays it on the line
It's JP Morgan's Turn
The hangar deal is especially problematic as they'll be pushing out the current tenant of the hangar.
Tone deafness permeates this industry. Here's what the chairman of JP Morgan said recently, "When I hear the constant vilification of corporate America I personally don't understand it."
It's a start
Monday, March 23, 2009
We shall see
$800,000,000 down the drain
Plus, the drug, Roundup Ultra, we use to kill the other drugs opium etal, is not exactly helping those who breathe it in. 'Reported symptoms in humans include elevated heart rate, digestive difficulties, increased risk of miscarriage in pregnant women, severe lung irritation, dizziness and heart palpitations."
Some wars are not worth fighting.
We are not out of the woods
My concern, at this point when all that's been revealed is not 'official', is probably overly cynical. The plan relies on Wall St. types setting the value of the banks' bad assets via an auction of some sort. We would be co-investors with the private people but the bulk of the transaction (80%?) will be a loan from us. If the value placed on these bad assets by the privates is reasonable, they will make a barrel of money, we will make some. If the value is wrong, they will lose their investment (which I've read is on the order of 3% of the total) and we would lose ours (which is 97% of the investment).
The preceding risk-reward ratio is bad enough. But from what we've seen recently with regard to the ethics of Wall St. types, what prevents the bidders at these auctions from conspiring to set prices to minimize the possible loss to them? After all, we are putting up most of the money yet they will get a disproportionately larger share of the profits that may occur.
Sunday, March 22, 2009
It worked in Iraq, didn't it?
Be thankful we have a modern army.
A Spokesman for the Iraq War
It's a secret world
Today's juicy little detail is about loans to insiders, i.e., executives, directors and the directors' companies. Now there is no law that says a bank cannot loan money to these insiders. However, there is a regulation that says the bank does not have to reveal the details, who got what why. It would be nice to know this information when we own part of the banks. For example, Bank of America doubled its loans to insiders in the third quarter of 2008, when the debacle began to escalate in intensity. You have to wonder why this occurred when credit for your company was drying up, not expanding. One of the reasons for the S&L failure of the late last century was loans to insiders. Can it happen now?
Here is a list of the banks who lent the most to insiders. See any familiar names?
JPMorgan Chase, New York, $1.48 billion
Wachovia, Charlotte, N.C., $747 million
M&I Marshall & Ilsley, Milwaukee, $644.4 million
Bank of America, Charlotte, $624.2 million
Northern Trust, Chicago, $523.5 million
Union Bank, San Francisco, $499.3 million
BB&T, Winston-Salem, N.C., $493.8 million
Commerce Bank, Kansas City, Mo., $467.9 million
Regions Bank, Birmingham, Ala., $444.3 million
Comerica Bank, Dallas, $391.5 million
Saturday, March 21, 2009
3 Troubled Entities
Congress spends most of its time trying to get re-elected. Okay, the auto executives have no sense of modesty. But, is their flying down to DC worth more than one 5-minute harangue? Shouldn't Congress be analyzing the companies' plans for salvation? Yes, AIG was arrogant in spending our money on bonuses to the people who wrecked the company. But, why was the company allowed to pay its counterparties in full although the underlying investments were still solid? Why can't the financial products division be isolated so that it no longer continues to infect the entire company?
Is Congress really the cause of the media's devotion to trivialities? Are all opinions equal and deserving of equal play? Is economics the reason for the preponderance of 'reality' shows on television? Are the arts dead? How can a tv network devote months of daily coverage to the death of one girl in the Caribbean? Do the "pundits" demonstrate anything but the ability to be rude and the ability to yell? How often does one hear reasoned analysis of our current situation? Why does the media remain so insular and chauvinistic?
Okay, Wall Street may have always been a different world. But it has really become divorced from planet earth in this century. When did it become necessary to pay retention bonuses every year? Is it really necessary to pay brokers so much money? Shouldn't the stockholders get some of the profits? Whatever happened to investing for the long term? Should they have spent fortunes investing in securities hardly any of them understood? Why are they upset and threatening to take their marbles because the majority owner - us - starts to exert a modicum of control?
It is the first day of spring. I should relax.
Makes Sense to Me
Aaron Houston makes a good case for a domestic marijuana industry here. In addition to the advantages cited above, legalization should put a big damper on Mexico's drug cartel.
Friday, March 20, 2009
Interpreting the law
More is needed
- Limit the compensation of executives of companies that have taken our money.
- Make the $1,000,000 limit of tax deductibility of executive compensation a reality.
- Value stock options on their grant date, not their exercise date.
- Unlimited tax deductibility of deferred executive compensation.
Computer Security
Yet, we don't have very many people entering the field. We produce 50 - 60 computer security doctorates in this country every year and more than half of them go back to their home country. I'm not saying that only those with Phds in computer security can produce the next generation of secure networks. Many of the major advances in computer technology have been made by people without advanced degrees and by people without degrees. I am saying, as I have for quite a while, we need to do something about the small number of students involed with the sciences.
"I get the new reality......
But looking below the headline, one learns that the headlined cost of $10,000,000 is based on an estimate by an unidentified source, who has tripled the Citicorp estimate of $3,200,000. Then, if Citi's statement on the matter is to be believed, “Senior executives in our corporate headquarters are moving from two floors to smaller, simpler offices on a single floor,” the company’s statement said. “Based on estimates made when the project was initiated, we expect to generate savings in the next few years well in excess of the project costs.” The statement goes on to claim that there will be a $20,000,000 savings over the life of the lease. If the statement is true, there are sound business judgements being made in this case.
It is true that there will be a sub-zero refrigerator, “premium grade” millwork, blast-proof window film and "soft seating" installed. That is somewhat over the top but when one looks at past Citigroup offices with their fireplaces, zen gardens and fish tanks, the planned offices seem somewhat declasse.
Let's get back to Pandit's claim of getting the new reality. He does not yet understand the fish bowl in which he and the company are operating. He needs to be more open. He needs to understand that the public has a very different view of the world and the accoutrements that should fall to corporate bigwigs than he does. The media needs material that people will read or watch or hear. Corporate greed is the hot topic of early 2009; anything smelling of that will be broadcast to the world immediately. The details and reasons for spending money do not matter. The media wants the headline that will grab the audience. Pandit needs to do a much better job of explaining in advance how he is spending our money.
Thursday, March 19, 2009
More, More, More
To receive the TARP funds each company had to confirm it owed zero taxes. What's one more little white lie.
Please don't leave
And because there are so many jobs available in the financial field and so few people to fill them, we need to pay the COO almost three times more this year than we paid him to stay last year ($260,000).
Did I read that the company was on its way back to profitability? Only in the tea leaves. In reality, that day is far, far away.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
A Comment on Our World
Read the Contract
Controlling a Company
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
We're not going to take it anymore
Remember that this is a firm that is 79.9 percent owned by the United States government. It is therefore quite possible to abort this outrage, by decisive exercise of public authority. Within existing law, there is more than one way to do it. But a direct solution is readily at hand: Firstly, the U.S. trustees in charge of the firm must immediately instruct the corporate treasurer to make no payments of any bonuses. They also need to order him to issue stop-payment orders on any checks that fly out the door at the last minute, as with Merrill Lynch. Then the trustees need to split off the derivatives unit from the rest of the firm and separately incorporate it. This step leaves AIG's other businesses free to operate as usual. If the recipients of the bonuses refuse to waive them, then the derivatives unit should at once be thrown into bankruptcy, terminating all obligations to pay them. Right now, press reports suggest that the firm's top management waited until the last minute to inform the government of what was happening. AIG CEO Edward Liddy, accordingly, should be asked to resign at once, for the sake of public confidence and to send a clear signal that gaming the system is unacceptable. It is also past time for an investigation of the validity of AIG's past accounting and securities disclosures and its executive compensation program by the Office of Thrift Supervision, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the FBI.And Glenn Greenwald demolishes the 'sanctity of the contract' argument:
As any lawyer knows, there are few things more common - or easier -- than finding legal arguments that call into question the meaning and validity of contracts. Every day, commercial courts are filled with litigations between parties to seemingly clear-cut agreements. Particularly in circumstances as extreme as these, there are a litany of arguments and legal strategies that any lawyer would immediately recognize to bestow AIG with leverage either to be able to avoid these sleazy payments or force substantial concessions.
Since the contracts are secret and we're apparently just supposed to rely on the claims of AIG and Treasury Department lawyers, it's impossible to identify these arguments specifically. But there are almost certainly viable claims to be asserted that the contracts were induced via fraud or that the bonus-demanding executives themselves violated their contracts. Independently, it's inconceivable that there aren't substantial counterclaims that AIG could assert against any executives suing to obtain these bonuses, a threat which, by itself, provides substantial leverage to compel meaningful concessions. Many of these executives were, after all, the very ones responsible for the cataclysmic losses.
The only way a company like AIG throws up its hands from the start and announces that there is simply nothing to be done is if they are eager to make these payments. One might expect AIG to do so -- they haven't exactly proven themselves to be paragons of business ethics -- but the fact that Obama officials are also insisting that nothing can be done (even while symbolically and pointlessly pretending to join in the populist outrage over these publicly-funded "retention payments") is what is most notable here.
Legal strategies aside, just as a business matter, one of the first things which every compnay in severe distress does is go to its creditors, explain that it cannot make the required payments, and force re-negotiations of the terms. That's as basic as it gets. To see how that works, just look at what GM and other automakers did with their union contracts - what they were forced by the Government to do as a condition for their bailout. Obviously, if a company goes into bankruptcy, then contracts to pay executive bonuses are immediately nullified, but the threat of bankruptcy or serious financial distress is, for obvious reasons, very compelling leverage to force substantial concessions. And the idea that, in this economy, AIG executives (of all people) will be able simply to leave and go seek employment elsewhere unless they receive their "retention bonuses" (even assuming that's an undesirable outcome) is nothing short of ludicrous.
The Voice of Experience
Monday, March 16, 2009
Making a deal with the devil?
Ash asks, "What could be more corrupt than asking banks that have been bailed out by the American taxpayer - expressly to address their loses from mortgage failures - if they approve of a foreclosure bill that would in turn bailout the taxpayer/homeowners themselves?"
I told you he was a man of principle
Sunday, March 15, 2009
And to top it off
One would think that if it were your money, you would try to negotiate a lower payment as the underlying security is still good. Apparently, AIG did not consider that as it was our money, not theirs. I wonder how much influence can be attributed to the fact that one of the parties paid in full was Goldman Sachs, Paulson's former firm.
Geithner should resign and we should sue AIG. It is true - truth is stranger than fiction.
Not nice reading for a Sunday morning
ContentsAnd here is the report's conclusion:
Introduction
1. Main Elements of the CIA Detention Program
1.1 Arrest and Transfer
1.2 Continuous Solitary Confinement and Incommunicado Detention
1.3 Other Methods of Ill-treatment
1.3.1 Suffocation by water
1.3.2 Prolonged Stress Standing
1.3.3 Beatings by use of a collar
1.3.4 Beating and kicking
1.3.5 Confinement in a box
1.3.6 Prolonged nudity
1.3.7 Sleep deprivation and use of loud music
1.3.8 Exposure to cold temperature/cold water
1.3.9 Prolonged use of handcuffs and shackles
1.3.10 Threats
1.3.11 Forced shaving
1.3.12 Deprivation/restricted provision of solid food
1.4 Further elements of the detention regime
The allegations of ill-treatment of the detainees indicate that, in many cases, the ill-treatment to which they were subjected while held in the CIA program, either singly or in combination, constituted torture. In addition, many other elements of the ill-treatment, either singly or in combination, constituted cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment.What have we become?
It is even worse, much worse
AIG claims that they are contractually obligated to pay this enormous sum. Well, I guess their lawyers are as inept as their financial people. They're telling us that bonuses are due even though the company has for all practical purposes gone belly up. I have a great deal of difficulty understanding this.
And then these greedy bastards are paying out another $121,500,000 in incentive bonuses. Incentives for what? To continue to manage this company totally into the ground? To stay because there is such a demand for their services in a financial climate where layoffs are happening every day?
Liddy, the board and the rest of their cronies should accompany Mr. Madoff to jail.
I know that I shouldn't get excited. After all, it's less than a half percent of the $173 billion we've given them so far. Note that 'so far'. They'll be back at the trough soon.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
How else can they retain the best and the brightest?
This is the company that has been so successful that they've needed $170 billion of our dollars to stay afloat. Shame has vanished from their world.
Another Man of Principle
As with South Carolina, Texas does have a problem with unemployment in that its laws are such that only twenty percent of the unemployed receive benefits. Perry's principles are more important than providing benefits to the other 80%.
Friday, March 13, 2009
Your chance to win $420 billion
It's been over a month and still no details from Geithner and stll the Treasury is short-handed. Maybe following SNL's 'suggestion' may be as useful as Geithner's way.
Suspicion can pay off
This law allows police, should they stop you for a possible violation, to present you with two choices - sign a document turning over all the possessions you have on you and in your car to the town or be charged with a crime, the crime varying between a traffic offense to drugs. Of course, just about all of the people charged under this law are out-of-towners.
You should know that Tenaha is a small town near nothing. It's not a place where things move fast. So, if you protest your innocence and refuse to sign over your assets, you may have to return often before your case is heard. Many people weigh their options and decide to turn over their watches or money or jewelry or...
Perhaps Governor Perry should not reject all of the unemployment money the federal government wants to give Texas. He might be able to give some to Tenaha, which might result in the town not having to resort to shady practices to pay their bills.
Marking Time
The head of the UN Commission on Narcotic Drugs acknowledged at least one change - a rise in crime. That rise has led to El Chapo, a Mexican drug lord, making #171 on the Fortune list of billionaires. Malcolm Forbes must be rolling in his grave.
How much money has been wasted on the war on drugs?
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Principle above all
I'm sure he'll have no trouble explaining this decision and the rationale for it to his constituents and the nation when he runs for President in 2012, assuming he survives his next election.
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Moderate Muslims
According to a former Islamist terrorist, "Scholars in the most prestigious Islamic institutes and universities continue to teach things like Jews are "pigs and monkeys," that women and men must be stoned to death for adultery, or that Muslims must fight the world to spread their religion." Many of the 'crimes' that are punished in Islamist governments are also in the texts of other religions but these other religions have moved on. He urges Islam to move on and join the modern world.
A Funny World
This happened on a day when it was reported that the loss risks from derivatives from the five largest banks increased 49% in the 90 days ending 12/31/08.
We really want to believe.
Monday, March 09, 2009
An Educated Guess
Fix the problem
Barry Ritholz has an excellent comment today re nationalizing the banks.
He concludes:
Classical economics made a fundamental error in its key conception of Human Beings, treating them as perfectly rational. It now compounds that error by utterly misunderstanding Confidence.
Fix whats broken, namely the financial system. When that’s repaired, confidence will improve.
Serving Time
This seems to be quite draconian and costly (over $50,000,000 a year). Does it make sense?
An Unused System
Some examples:
In July 2005, the Department of the Army debarred a German company and its president after the president violated German law and attempted to ship dual use aluminum tubes, which can be used to develop nuclear weapons, to North Korea. In the debarment decision, the Army stated that because the president “sold potential nuclear bomb making materials to a well-known enemy of the United States,” there was a “compelling interest to discontinue any business with this morally bankrupt individual.” Despite this debarment, the Army chose to continue to award the company task orders and paid it over $4 million during fiscal year 2006. Although the Army told us that it was legally obligated to continue the contract with the company, in fact several options were available for termination. It is not clear if the Army considered these options because the officials we spoke with were not sure of the exact circumstances surrounding the decision and there was no contemporaneous documentation related to the case.The problem seems to be that few pay attention to the system and, thus, either do not report bad companies, report incomplete information or do not search the lsit when a contract is to be awarded.
• In April 2006, the Department of the Navy suspended a company after one of its employees sabotaged repairs on an aircraft carrier by using nonconforming parts to replace fasteners on steam pipes. If these pipes had ruptured as a result of faulty fasteners, those aboard the carrier could have suffered lethal burns. However, less than a month after the suspension, the Navy awarded the same company three new contracts because a contracting officer failed to check EPLS to verify the company’s eligibility.
• GSA suspended a construction company in September 2006 after its president opened fraudulent GSA surplus-property-auction accounts using fictitious social security numbers so that he could continue to do business with GSA while his original account was in default for nonpayment. The Department of the Interior attempted to check the contractor’s eligibility in EPLS prior to making several awards to the company, but the exclusion was not revealed because GSA did not enter the company into EPLS until October 2006, more than a month after the suspension began.
• The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) debarred an individual in April 2003 for 5 years after he pleaded guilty to Medicare fraud. Because HHS did not debar the individual’s company, he transferred ownership of the company to his wife in an attempt to continue receiving Medicare reimbursements. After HHS objected to this arrangement, he then sold the company to a neighbor. Two years later, citing financial difficulties, the neighbor sold the business back to the original owner’s wife. The wife admitted to our investigators that she then legally changed her last name to her maiden name to avoid “difficulties” in using her husband’s name. Using this scheme, the couple received Medicare payments for the remaining 3 years of the husband’s debarment.
Reporting is inadequate
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Reality Intrudes Again
The Fortune List and, I suspect, many others are complied by an organization that goes by the name "Great Place to Work Institute". The co-founder, Robert Levering, is the co-author of the Fortune list. You can get on the list by nominating yourself and completing a form to measure your employees trust index (at least 400 employees complete a 15 minute survey) and an audit of your culture (as seen by you). Last year 353 companies applied for the 100-member list.
I wonder how confidential the employee survey is and what feelings they have about being asked to complete a survey as to their trust in the company. The culture audit gives the company ample opportunity to tell its story. An article in the Columbia Journalism Review raises many questions about some of these stories.
They Just Don't Get It
In Cardinal Re's view nothing else matters but that "the twins had the right to live" and that was taken from them. The girl's health, her rape had no bearing on the matter. God's law, as interpreted by the Cardinal, was violated.
Saturday, March 07, 2009
Questions for Mr. Geithner
There are many questions that we believe must be addressed in coming weeks, but we ask you to focus your attention on one immediate issue. Treasury has not explained how its financial stabilization programs fit together to address the problems that caused this crisis. This failure to connect specific programs to a clear strategy aimed at the root causes of the crisis has produced uncertainty and drained your work of public support. Financial institutions, businesses, and consumers will not return to healthy investment in the economy if they fear that the federal government is careening from one crisis to another without an intelligible road map.The report begins with some interesting comments about our detailed knowledge of the mortgage situation.
For these reasons, we ask that you provide answers to the following questions about
Treasury’s current views and the approach outlined in the Administration’s recently-issued Financial Stability Plan. Please answer each question in detail and please indicate the economic or other evidence on which your each answer rests:
1. What do you believe the primary causes of the financial crisis to have been? Are those causes continuing? How does your overall strategy for using Treasury authority and taxpayer funds address those causes?
2. What is the best way to recapitalize the banking system? How does your answer
relate to your assessment of the causes of the financial crisis?
3. What is your view of the economic status of the American consumer and the
amount that constitutes a healthy debt burden for the consumer? The Consumer
and Business Lending Initiative and elements of the Homeowner Affordability
and Stability Plan are designed to restart consumer purchases of homes and
automobiles, but the success of these programs depends on the ability of
consumers to absorb more debt. Has Treasury developed any data to determine
whether consumers can shoulder the additional debt to power these initiatives?
To develop this report, we explored the available data and discovered how little is known about the current state of mortgage performance across the country. The ability of federal banking and housing regulatory agencies to gather and analyze this data is hampered by the lack of a nationwide loan performance data reporting requirement on the industry. Consequently, there is no comprehensive private or government source for accurately tracking loan delinquencies and loss mitigation efforts, including foreclosures and modifications, on a complete, national scale. No federal agency has the ability to track delinquencies and loss mitigation efforts for more than 60 percent of the market. Existing data are plagued by inconsistencies in collection methodologies and reporting, and the numbers are often simply unverifiable. Worse still, the data that are collected are often not the data needed for answering key questions, such as, what are causing mortgage defaults and why loan modifications have not been working. The United States is now two years into a foreclosure crisis that has brought economic collapse, and federal banking and housing regulators still know surprisingly little about the number of foreclosures, what is driving the foreclosures, and the efficacy of mitigation efforts. The Panel endorses a much more vigorous plan to collect critical foreclosure data.Granted Geithner has only been at the job for a short time, but he was head of the NY Fed and should be more aware of the issues. And, of course, there is the issue of staffing the Treasury, which is going very slowly. Geithner needs help, but does he acknowledge it? Why isn't the Economic Recovery Advisory Board involved more? Has the board even met? There is talent and experience there and we can use all of that that we have.
Why not bankruptcy for GM?
It's unlikely that bankruptcy would turn off suppliers, as vital suppliers are among the first that the judge orders to be paid. And settling with bondholders is a lot easier in bankruptcy as it's much more difficult for a few bondholders to scuttle a deal when GM is in Chapter 11.
Friday, March 06, 2009
Pushing the limits in Gaza
Many of the buildings were destroyed by mines that were planted and detonated after Israel had gained control of an area and, thus, the buildings were no longer dangerous to the Israelis.
A Pleasant Surprise
Inviting Iran to the upcoming conference on Afghanistan is also another smart move.
May she continue in this vein.
Thursday, March 05, 2009
Abortion is always wrong
What's more expensive.....
Ed Glaeser has an excellent article as to why we should stop pouring money into the Big Three. Trying to save an industry whose day has passed (at least in its current form) is not a good thing. Ask Japan, Ask Europe. We need innovation to effectively compete today and that is seldom found in behemoths. It's the little guy with the big idea we need today.
As I said last month. Millennia ago, the dinosaurs may have been thought too big to fail, but they did and the world moved on. It was a different world, but it absorbed the loss. Some species throve because there were no more dinosaurs.
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
A Unique Selling Proposition
Apparently, in some counties there is a very different procedure if you issue a bad check, even a check for a small amount, e.g., $14. The district attorney, the chief prosecutor for the county, may turn the matter over to American Corrective Counseling Services (ACCS), a debt collector with a few new twists.
ACCS sends out a letter that looks like it came from the district attorney. One such letter went to a college student whose $92 check to the bookstore bounced due to a screwup which can occur if there is more than one person writing checks on the account; in this case her mother was also writing checks. The letter said that the student had "violated criminal statutes by issuing a bad check." She faced as much as a year in jail and a $2,500 fine unless she made good, paid an additional $215 in fees and spent a Saturday at a "financial accountability class." Being a trusting young person, she complied. However, ACCS had no authority to send such a letter. Yes, they had a deal with the DA, but the deal called for their involvement only if the check exceeded $100.
But even in those cases where the amount is greater than $100, one has to be concerned with behavior and actions which strongly imply that one is dealing with the legal authorities. It is very likely that collections are better when the debtor thinks the law is after him. Are the district attorneys acting honorably and legally by allowing their seal to be used by a private company?
The problem is more than impersonating an officer of the court. A case is begun when a merchant informs ACCS that it has received a bad check and has tried to contact the check writer. In many cases proof that contact has occurred can't be found. In some cases ACCS telephones people with a message like "Twentieth judicial, state’s attorney bad check restitution program. Our office has an official matter requiring your immediate attention." And, of course, there is no legal requirement to attend a course, for which you must pay.
This can be a lucrative business. The company has 300 people dunning for them and has convinced at least one VC to invest in them. It's lucrative enough to lobby Congress to exempt it from the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act.
The Beat Goes On
It is true that the stock component of this compensation is now worth a fraction of what it was. It's still a lot of money for a company that went bust.
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Intelligent Design
Spending our money wisely
These are some of the projects our leaders deem worthwhile for our money:
- $1.7 million for pig odor research in Iowa;
- $6.6 million for termite research in New Orleans;
- $2.1 million for the "Center for Great Genetics" in New York;
- $1.7 million for a honeybee factory in Weslaco, Tex.;
- $333,000 for a school sidewalk in Franklin, Tex.;
- $207,000 for a tattoo removal program in Los Angeles;
- $143,000 for an online encyclopedia in Nevada;
- $951,500 for a "sustainable Las Vegas;
- $238,000 for the Polynesian Voyaging Society in Honolulu;
- nearly $10 million requested by a lobbying company, PMA Group, that was raided by the FBI over its campaign donations.
Brains vs. Emotions
A study by the Pew Center on the States urges us to re-think our approach to handling crime. The study advocates that we spend more of our money on community supervision (probation and parole) than we do currently. Now, a third of those under state or community supervision (in jail, on probation or parole) are in jail, yet we spend almost 90% of our corrections money on this one-third. This makes little sense when community supervision for those who have not committed violent crimes and who are also at less risk of flight or committing another crime is a lot cheaper and results in less recidivism.
As the economic decline worsens, we need to re-think many of our assumptions and practices rather than simply make the customary knee-jerk, emotional reaction.
Monday, March 02, 2009
Blackwater is now Xe
Nothing seems to be going right, so they did the conventional thing - they've changed the name.
Going Green to the End
The object on your left is an 'ecopod'. It's the serious environmentalist's casket. This one is made of papier-mache and weighs forty pounds.
Our current burial practices - embalming, metal caskets, metal vaults - do use a lot of resources. And these practices were not those used when this country began. In those days, a dead body may have been wrapped in a blanket and placed in the earth, where it would eventually convert itself into the earth once more.
There is a movement in this country to return to a more natural way of burial. Will it catch on? There are now only eleven 'natural' cemeteries in this country, but the movement is young. Maybe one of us will be buried this way.
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Who's watching the store?
Minow is asking for much more than more government oversight. She wants the costs of monitoring the distribution of funds built into the stimulus. "Clarity about actual requirements, roles, and responsibilities is the central precondition so that each contracting arrangement specifies who is accountable to whom, for what, through what processes, by clear standards, and with specific consequences."
From Another Planet
Mr. Montillano was suspected of robbery in Chula Vista, CA. in December. Yet, in February he signed up for an examination to join the police force. On the day of the exam, he called the police station to tell them he was having car problems and might be late. He was actually being truthful and showed up by bus for the exam.
After being arrested, Mr. Montillano still didn't get it and asked if he would still be able to take the exam.When told that he could not, he then asked if he could re-apply and maybe take the test later.
Then, he got into his spaceship and left the planet.