Despite the decline in violence, the latest National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), the product of all our intelligence agencies, echoes Petraeus' recent assessment - Iraq is a fragile place. The NIE points to a few big question marks:
Will Sadr continue to stay quiet?
Will the Sunnis, whom we paid to fight on our behalf, become part of the Iraqi security forces, most of whom are still Shiites?
How will the question of controlling Kirkuk and oil be settled?
When, if ever, will the displaced people be able to retrn to their homes?
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